Every number says whose it is. No sport's numbers are validated as better than the bookmakers' yet. How we grade
Data provider's injury report: AC Milan 3 out · Bologna 3 out
Bookmakers: no line yet
Model + bookmakers blend: AC Milan 63%
Data provider's injury report: Parma 4 out · Udinese 3 out
Bookmakers: no line yet
Model + bookmakers blend: Parma 42%
Data provider's injury report: Venezia 3 out · Inter 5 out
Bookmakers: no line yet
Model + bookmakers blend: Inter 72%
Data provider's injury report: Genoa 3 out · Juventus 9 out
Data provider's injury report: Inter Miami 3 out · FC Cincinnati 4 out
Data provider's injury report: New York City FC 5 out · Atlanta United FC 2 out
Data provider's injury report: New England Revolution 2 out · New York Red Bulls 2 out
The bookmakers' favourite won 11 of 15 games.
Upset: the Atlanta Hawks were the bookmakers' 56% favourites and lost 117–129.
The bookmakers' favourite won.
The bookmakers' favourite won.
How each source has done, last 30 days
Soccer
Model + bookmakers blend (ours): its favourite won 59% of 375, after saying 53%: too cautious · Model (ours): too few to say (7) · Bookmakers or data provider: too few to say (1). Over 463 matches in the last 60 days, the bookmakers' closing prices were slightly more accurate than ours.
NFL/College
Bookmakers: their favourite won 66% of 237, after their prices said 68% · Model (ours): too few to say (2) · Default (home side): too few to say (2).
MLB
No graded model of ours yet · Bookmakers: their favourite won 56% of 34, after their prices said 56%.
Basketball
No graded model of ours yet · Bookmakers: too few to say (16).