Published October 23, 2026 · By the Goalorithm model desk
Preview
Inter Miami host FC Cincinnati in Major League Soccer on Wednesday, October 28, with kick-off at 7:30 p.m. ET. The model makes Inter Miami the likeliest winner, while the standings place the sides in different positions in the Eastern Conference.
What the model expects
These probabilities are estimates. The model's outcomes, from likeliest down, are an Inter Miami win (52.4%), then an FC Cincinnati win (28.2%), then a draw (19.3%). Its goal projections point to a match with scoring: over 2.5 goals at 81.4%, while the both-teams-to-score estimate is 76.1%.
The expected-goals figures are Inter Miami 2.8 and FC Cincinnati 1.7. The leading exact-score projections are 2-1 (7.2%), 3-1 (6.6%) and 1-1 (6.3%). The model's likeliest result is an Inter Miami win. Together, the projections set out the model's view of the possible scoring and result, rather than a single certain outcome.
Form and standings
Inter Miami's recent sequence is WWWLD, and the side's current run is 3 wins in a row. Its latest listed result was a 3-1 away win against Atlanta United FC on October 17. In the conference, Inter Miami sit 2nd in Eastern Conference with 55 points from 30 games.
FC Cincinnati's sequence is WLLWL, with a 2-1 home win against DC United on October 21 as the most recent listed result. FC Cincinnati sit 9th in Eastern Conference with 36 points from 28 games. In the table, Inter Miami sit above FC Cincinnati. The standings and recent sequences provide context for the fixture, while the model's projections describe its expectation for this match.