Published October 22, 2026 · By the Goalorithm model desk
Preview
Philadelphia Union host New England Revolution in Major League Soccer on Saturday, October 24, with kick-off at 7:30 p.m. ET at Subaru Park, Philadelphia. The model’s outcome forecast puts a Philadelphia Union win first, while New England Revolution sit above Philadelphia Union. The teams arrive with different recent records, and their latest results were a 2-2 home draw with Charlotte on October 17 and a 1-0 home win against Chicago Fire on October 17.
The match brings together a Philadelphia Union side that has been unbeaten in their last 5 and a New England Revolution side that is 2 wins in a row. The model expects a competitive outcome spread rather than a forecast concentrated on one result.
What the model expects
The probabilities are estimates. The model’s outcome order is a Philadelphia Union win (47.5%), then a draw (28.7%), then a New England Revolution win (23.8%). Its likeliest result is a Philadelphia Union win, while the draw and an away win also feature in the forecast.
The model’s expected-goals figures are 1.6 for Philadelphia Union and 1.2 for New England Revolution. Its goals figures are over 2.5 goals at 52.4% and under 2.5 goals at 47.6%. The model gives both teams scoring 54.7%, and gives 45.3% to at least one side failing to score.
The likeliest scorelines are 1-1 at 12.9%, 0-0 at 9.1% and 2-1 at 8.9%. They include a level score and outcomes with goals for both sides. No single listed scoreline dominates the forecast, so the overall preference for Philadelphia Union is not a prediction of one specific margin.