Published October 22, 2026 · By the Goalorithm model desk
Preview
CF Montreal host Nashville SC in Major League Soccer on Saturday, October 24 at 1:30 p.m. ET, with the sides arriving from contrasting recent runs. The standings place Nashville SC above CF Montreal, and the model’s outcome order points towards the visitors, though a draw remains a substantial part of its forecast.
The match is at Saputo Stadium, Montreal. Both teams drew their most recent games, but their broader form and league positions frame a meeting between CF Montreal and Nashville SC.
What the model expects
These are estimates: the model gives a Nashville SC win (50.2%), then a draw (34.5%), then a CF Montreal win (15.3%). Its likeliest result is a Nashville SC win, while the expected-goals figures are 1 for CF Montreal and 1.2 for Nashville SC.
The model's goal outlook leans towards under 2.5 goals at 64%, with over 2.5 goals at 36% also represented in the forecast. It gives both teams scoring 42.2%, while 57.8% is its figure for at least one side failing to score; that does not mean a goalless draw in every such outcome.
The leading exact-score forecasts are 0-0 (15.5%), 1-1 (14.6%) and 0-1 (11.8%). Together they sketch a match where a narrow margin or a level finish features prominently in the model's scoreline options, rather than a prediction built around a high-scoring contest.
Form and standings
CF Montreal come in DLLWL, a sequence that amounts to 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats, with 5 goals scored and 9 conceded. Their latest result was a 1-1 away draw with Seattle Sounders on October 17, and they are without a win in their last 3. The sequence has produced a mixed return, with the latest draw leaving the side still looking for a win in its current run.