Published October 21, 2026 · By the Goalorithm model desk
Preview
GO Ahead Eagles host Telstar in Eredivisie on Friday, October 23 at 2:00 p.m. ET, with both sides without a win in their last 5. GO Ahead Eagles come off a 4-1 away defeat to PEC Zwolle on October 18, while Telstar’s most recent outing was a 4-3 home defeat to Feyenoord on October 17. The fixture brings together sides on separate runs without a win, while the model's likeliest result is a GO Ahead Eagles win.
What the model expects
The model gives its outcomes in this order: a GO Ahead Eagles win (58.6%), then a draw (22.8%), then a Telstar win (18.6%). These probabilities are estimates. Its expected-goals figures are 1.7 for GO Ahead Eagles and 0.9 for Telstar, while the goals model gives under 2.5 goals at 52.2% and over 2.5 goals at 47.8%.
The model’s likeliest scores are 1-1 (14.3%), 0-0 (12.4%) and 2-0 (9.9%). For both teams to score, the model gives 48.7%; for at least one side to fail to score, it gives 51.3%. The scoreline possibilities include a draw and a home win, while the goals figures place the under and over outcomes close together.
Form and standings
GO Ahead Eagles’ recent sequence is LDDDD: 4 draws and 1 defeat, with 9 goals scored and 12 conceded. The run has left them without a win in their last 5. They sit 9th in Eredivisie with 11 points from 9 games. Their latest result was an away defeat, and the sequence includes repeated draws alongside that loss.