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Game analysis · college football

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Kennesaw State Owls 44-28 Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders: Game Analysis & Model Review

A 44-28 win for the Kennesaw State Owls over the Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders in college football, Wednesday, October 28: the box score, the top performers and how Goalorithm's model called it.

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Published October 28, 2026 · By the Goalorithm model desk

Read the preview written before the game →

Game report

The Kennesaw State Owls beat the Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders 44-28 in college football on Wednesday, October 28. The Kennesaw State Owls finished with 16 points between the teams, while the Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders held the ball for 40:19.

Kennesaw State’s 112 rushing yards came alongside 206 net passing yards. The Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders had 197 rushing yards and 183 net passing yards.

The numbers

The Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders totaled 380 yards, 22 first downs and a 55% third-down conversion rate. The Kennesaw State Owls totaled 318 yards, 14 first downs and a 20% third-down conversion rate.

Each team had 2 turnovers. The Kennesaw State Owls held possession for 19:41.

Top performers

For the Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders, Roman Gagliano completed 21 of 43 passes for 183 yards, with 2 interceptions. Antonio Martin ran for 106 yards on 18 carries, with a touchdown, and Cam'ron Lacy caught 4 passes for 73 yards. On defense, Korey Smith had 0.5 sacks and an interception; Dominic Bourgeois made 2 of 3 field goals. Santana Fleming returned a kick for a touchdown for the Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders.

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For the Kennesaw State Owls, Rickie Collins completed 16 of 19 passes for 206 yards, with 3 touchdowns and an interception. Boogie Woods III ran for 67 yards on 12 carries, with 2 touchdowns, and Dylan Gary caught 2 passes for 59 yards, with 2 touchdowns. On defense, Ugonna Nwoha had 2 sacks; Daniel Kinney made 1 of 1 field goals. Tywon Christopher returned an interception for a touchdown for the Kennesaw State Owls.

How the model called it

The model’s figures were estimates. Before the game, it gave the Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders a 52.1% chance to win and made them its favorite. The result went against that pick: the Kennesaw State Owls won, and the model had the Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders by 0.7 points, but the Kennesaw State Owls won by 16 points.

See every number for this game in the Game Center →

How this was written: an AI writer drafts the words from Goalorithm's own data. Every figure is filled in from our model and game records, never by the writer, and nothing we don't hold is guessed. Probabilities are model estimates, not certainties.

For informational/entertainment purposes only — not betting or financial advice. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.

college football

Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders vs Kennesaw State Owls

Wed, Oct 28 · 7:00 PM ET

Final

28–44

The model before the game

Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders
52.1%
Kennesaw State Owls
47.9%

The result went against the model's favourite.

The numbers

Middle Tennessee Blue RaidersStatisticKennesaw State Owls
2turnovers2
22first downs14
380total yards318
197rushing yards112
183net passing yards206
40:19time of possession19:41
55%third-down conversion rate20%
Open the Game Center

Fri, Oct 30 · 7:00 PM ET

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