Published October 23, 2026 · By the Goalorithm model desk
Preview
The Florida Atlantic Owls visit the North Texas Mean Green in college football on Thursday, October 29, with kickoff at 7:30 p.m. ET. Both teams have matching season records, while the model's likelier result is a North Texas Mean Green win.
What the model expects
The model's figures are estimates, not certainties. It gives the North Texas Mean Green 76.5% to win and the Florida Atlantic Owls 23.5%. Its projected points are 39.1 for the North Texas Mean Green and 29.8 for the Florida Atlantic Owls, with 68.9 in all; the projected margin is the North Texas Mean Green by 9.3 points.
Records and recent results
The North Texas Mean Green are 4-2 overall this season, with 253 points scored and 175 allowed in 6 games. The Florida Atlantic Owls are 4-2, with 210 points scored and 189 allowed in 6 games; the two sides have the same record.
Most recently, the North Texas Mean Green beat the Charlotte 49ers 50-10 at home on October 10, and before that beat the Tulsa Golden Hurricane 45-44 on the road on October 1 and beat the Houston Christian Huskies 63-14 at home on September 26. The Florida Atlantic Owls lost 56-24 on the road to the Army Black Knights on October 17, and before that beat the Texas Southern Tigers 66-10 at home on October 3 and beat the UL Monroe Warhawks 45-17 on the road on September 26.