Published October 22, 2026 · By the Goalorithm model desk
Preview
The Sam Houston Bearkats visit the Missouri State Bears in college football on Tuesday, October 27, with kickoff at 8:00 p.m. ET. Their recent results set up a meeting between teams coming off losses, while the model projects an even points total.
What the model expects
The model gives the Missouri State Bears a 50.2% chance to win and the Sam Houston Bearkats a 49.8% chance. Those figures are estimates, not certainties; the model's likelier result is a Missouri State Bears win.
The projected score is 26.2 points for the Missouri State Bears and 26.2 for the Sam Houston Bearkats, with 52.4 points in all.
Records and recent results
The Missouri State Bears are 2-5 overall this season, with 171 points scored and 244 allowed in 7 games. The Sam Houston Bearkats are 1-6, with 141 points scored and 177 allowed in 7 games; the Missouri State Bears have the better record.
The Missouri State Bears lost 61-38 on the road to the Delaware Blue Hens on October 20, and before that beat the Kennesaw State Owls 24-21 at home on October 14 and lost 34-13 on the road to the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers on October 8.
The Sam Houston Bearkats lost 30-24 at home to the New Mexico State Aggies on October 21, and before that lost 16-3 at home to the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers on October 14 and lost 35-3 on the road to the Liberty Flames on October 8.