Published October 23, 2026 · By the Goalorithm model desk
Preview
The Kent State Golden Flashes visit the Sacramento State Hornets in college football on Friday, October 30, with kickoff set for 10:30 p.m. ET. The model's likelier result is a Sacramento State Hornets win.
What the model expects
The model gives the Sacramento State Hornets a 70.8% chance to win and the Kent State Golden Flashes a 29.2% chance; these are estimates, not certainties. Its projected points are 26.5 for the Sacramento State Hornets and 19.4 for the Kent State Golden Flashes, with 45.9 projected in all. The projected margin is the Sacramento State Hornets by 7.1 points.
Records and recent results
The Sacramento State Hornets are 1-6 overall this season, with 105 points scored and 229 allowed in 7 games. The Kent State Golden Flashes are 2-5, with 84 points scored and 224 allowed in 7 games; the Kent State Golden Flashes have the better record.
The Sacramento State Hornets lost 48-7 at home to the Ohio Bobcats on October 17, and before that lost 38-10 on the road to the Bowling Green Falcons on October 10 and lost 35-6 at home to the Massachusetts Minutemen on September 26.
The Kent State Golden Flashes lost 29-2 on the road to the South Florida Bulls on October 17, and before that lost 38-7 on the road to the Western Michigan Broncos on October 10 and lost 13-10 at home to the Ohio Bobcats on October 3.