Published October 22, 2026 · By the Goalorithm model desk
Preview
The Jacksonville State Gamecocks visit the New Mexico State Aggies in college football on Wednesday, October 28, with kickoff at 8:00 p.m. ET. The Jacksonville State Gamecocks have the better record, setting up a matchup between teams with different records this season.
What the model expects
The model's figures are estimates. Its likelier result is a Jacksonville State Gamecocks win, and it gives the Jacksonville State Gamecocks 54.4% to win and the New Mexico State Aggies 45.6%.
The model projects 24.3 points for the New Mexico State Aggies and 25.7 for the Jacksonville State Gamecocks, with 50 in all. Its projected margin is the Jacksonville State Gamecocks by 1.4 points.
Records and recent results
The New Mexico State Aggies are 3-4 overall this season, with 172 points scored and 178 allowed in 7 games. The Jacksonville State Gamecocks are 5-2, with 191 points scored and 159 allowed in 7 games.
The New Mexico State Aggies beat the Sam Houston Bearkats 30-24 on the road on October 21, and before that lost 22-3 on the road to the Florida International Panthers on October 7 and beat the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers 34-13 at home on October 1. The Jacksonville State Gamecocks beat the Florida International Panthers 27-24 at home on October 13, and before that beat the Kennesaw State Owls 27-26 on the road on October 7 and beat the Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders 23-13 at home on September 26.