Every number says whose it is. No sport's numbers are validated as better than the bookmakers' yet. How we grade
Data provider's injury report: Sassuolo 5 out · Lazio 4 out
Bookmakers: no line yet
Model + bookmakers blend: Lazio 61%
Data provider's injury report: AS Roma 4 out · Cagliari 2 out
Bookmakers: no line yet
Model + bookmakers blend: AS Roma 46%
Data provider's injury report: Torino 2 out · Como 3 out
Bookmakers: no line yet
Model + bookmakers blend: Como 58%
The bookmakers' favourite won 4 of 7 games.
Upset: the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers were the bookmakers' 54% favourites and lost 21–35.
The bookmakers' favourite won.
The bookmakers' favourite won.
How each source has done, last 30 days
Soccer
Model + bookmakers blend (ours): its favourite won 59% of 374, after saying 53%: too cautious · Model (ours): too few to say (7) · Bookmakers or data provider: too few to say (1). Over 463 matches in the last 60 days, the bookmakers' closing prices were slightly more accurate than ours.
NFL/College
Bookmakers: their favourite won 66% of 237, after their prices said 68% · Model (ours): too few to say (2) · Default (home side): too few to say (2).
MLB
No graded model of ours yet · Bookmakers: their favourite won 56% of 34, after their prices said 56%.
Basketball
No graded model of ours yet · Bookmakers: too few to say (16).