Published October 23, 2026 · By the Goalorithm model desk
Preview
Sassuolo host Lazio in Serie A on Tuesday, October 27, with kick-off at 1:30 p.m. ET. Lazio arrive on a strong recent run, while Sassuolo are without a win in their last 3; the model also points towards the visitors.
What the model expects
The model’s outcomes run a Lazio win (61.3%), then a draw (19.8%), then a Sassuolo win (18.9%). Its view is an estimate, and it gives Lazio to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Sassuolo and 1.4 for Lazio.
The model makes under 2.5 goals at 56.3% and over 2.5 goals at 43.7%. It gives 48.3% to both teams scoring and 51.7% to at least one side failing to score. Those are separate questions from the match result: the model’s likeliest scores are 0-1, followed by 1-0 and 1-1. The leading scorelines keep a narrow margin in view, while the model’s likeliest result is a Lazio win.
Form and standings
Sassuolo’s latest result was a 4-2 away defeat to Frosinone on October 16. Across 5 games, their sequence is LDLWD: 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats, with 9 goals scored and 11 conceded. They are without a win in their last 3.
Lazio’s latest outing was a 3-0 away win against Juventus on October 18. Their WWWDW sequence across 5 games amounts to 4 wins and 1 draw, alongside 12 goals scored and 4 conceded; they are also on 3 wins in a row. In the table, Lazio sit above Sassuolo. Sassuolo have 8 points from 7 games, while Lazio have 16 points from 6 games. The standings and recent results give context to the fixture, with Lazio bringing their current position and run into this meeting.