Published October 23, 2026 · By the Goalorithm model desk
Preview
Venezia host Inter in Serie A on Wednesday, October 28 at 1:30 p.m. ET, with the sides arriving from contrasting recent runs. The model’s likeliest result is an Inter win; Inter sit above Venezia.
At Stadio Pierluigi Penzo, Venice, the model projects Venezia for 0.9 expected goals and Inter for 2. Venezia’s latest outing was a win, while Inter arrive after a victory and 2 wins in a row. The match brings together those different recent records and a model outlook that points towards an away win.
What the model expects
These probabilities are estimates. The model’s outcome order is an Inter win (71.5%), then a draw (15.6%), then a Venezia win (12.9%), and its lean is Inter to win.
The likeliest score projections are 0-1 (15.1%), 0-2 (10.9%) and 1-2 (9.3%). The model assigns over 2.5 goals at 52.8% and under 2.5 goals at 47.2% to the total-goals outcomes. It gives both teams to score 49.5%, while the probability that at least one side fails to score is 50.5%. The expected-goals figures and score projections set out the model’s view of how the game could develop, while the outcome probabilities express its forecast for the result.
Form and standings
Venezia’s latest result was a 1-0 home win against Napoli on October 17. Across 5 games, their sequence is WLLLL, amounting to 1 win and 4 defeats; they have 6 goals scored and 12 conceded. That win is the latest result in a run that also includes defeats, and Venezia will look to build on it in this fixture.