Every number says whose it is. No sport's numbers are validated as better than the bookmakers' yet. How we grade
Called off: Mauritius v Djibouti (cancelled)
The bookmakers' favourite won 9 of 11 games.
Upset: Solomon Islands were the bookmakers' 38% favourites and drew 1–1.
Our blend's call: wrong
The bookmakers' favourite won.
Our blend's call: right
The bookmakers' favourite won.
The bookmakers' favourite won.
The bookmakers' favourite won.
Our blend's call: right
The bookmakers' favourite won.
Upset: the Houston Astros were the bookmakers' 58% favourites and lost 3–7.
The bookmakers' favourite won.
Our blend's call: right
The bookmakers' favourite won.
Our blend's call: right
The bookmakers' favourite won.
The bookmakers' favourite won.
How each source has done, last 30 days
Soccer
Model + bookmakers blend (ours): its favourite won 59% of 369, after saying 53%: too cautious · Model (ours): too few to say (6). Over 463 matches in the last 60 days, the bookmakers' closing prices were slightly more accurate than ours.
NFL/College
Bookmakers: their favourite won 66% of 240, after their prices said 68% · Model (ours): too few to say (2) · Default (home side): too few to say (2).
MLB
No graded model of ours yet · Bookmakers: their favourite won 53% of 30, after their prices said 56%.
Basketball
No graded model of ours yet · Bookmakers: too few to say (17).