Internal use only
Skip to main content
GoalorithmSports intelligence
All Sports

Football

Upcoming GamesPredictionsPlayer ProjectionsParlay BuilderMy PicksBetting JournalResults

Intelligence

NewsModel PerformanceData Health

Explore

StandingsValue ScanPlayersCompetitions

Build your edge

Understand every number behind the call.

Learn the numbers Explore membership

Match intelligence

News

All sportsFootballBasketballMLBNFL

Football

News

All sportsFootballBasketballMLBNFL
GOALORITHM / FTB

Match analysis · Major League Soccer

Research workspace

New York Red Bulls 0-3 St. Louis City: Match Analysis & Model Review

New York Red Bulls 0-3 St. Louis City in Major League Soccer, Wednesday, September 30: the numbers behind the result and how Goalorithm's model called it.

← All news
Home / News / Soccer / Match analysis

Published September 30, 2026 · By the Goalorithm model desk

Read the preview written before kickoff →

Match report

A 3-0 win for St. Louis City over New York Red Bulls in Major League Soccer on Wednesday, September 30. New York Red Bulls were behind 0-1 at half-time before the match ended 0-3. The scoring summary is clear: New York Red Bulls had no goals, while St. Louis City had three goals, making three goals overall.

The outcome was settled in favour of St. Louis City, with New York Red Bulls unable to add a goal. The half-time score establishes that St. Louis City already led at the interval, and the final score records the completed result.

The numbers

Possession was 46% for New York Red Bulls and 54% for St. Louis City. The shots-on-target count was 0 for New York Red Bulls and 0 for St. Louis City. Those totals sit alongside a match that finished with goals for St. Louis City and none for New York Red Bulls; they do not identify how the goals were scored.

The possession split gives a measure of how the ball was shared, but it does not establish which side created the better chances. The shot-on-target totals record no efforts on target for either team, while the scoreline confirms that St. Louis City still finished with the victory. The figures describe different parts of the match: possession, recorded shots on target and the final outcome. They do not provide a sequence of the goals or explain how the scoring chances arose.

More soccer news

All news →

SoccerPreview· Major League Soccer

Toronto FC vs CF Montreal Prediction & Preview (October 10)

Toronto FC vs CF Montreal in Major League Soccer, Saturday, October 10. Goalorithm's model makes Toronto FC win the most likely result at 48.2%. Form, the table, team news, head-to-head and the likeliest scores.

Sat, Oct 10 · 1:00 PM ET

SoccerPreview· Major League Soccer

Chicago Fire vs New York City FC Prediction & Preview (October 10)

Chicago Fire vs New York City FC in Major League Soccer, Saturday, October 10. Goalorithm's model makes Chicago Fire win the most likely result at 48.6%. Form, the table, team news, head-to-head and the likeliest scores.

Sat, Oct 10 · 2:30 PM ET

Matches
Predictions
My Picks

How the model called it

Before kick-off, Goalorithm's probabilities were estimates: the model gave New York Red Bulls a 26.4% chance of winning, a draw 23.5%, and St. Louis City a 50.2% chance. Its most likely outcome was St. Louis City to win, with 50.2% assigned to that result; the model's most likely outcome happened.

The model's pre-match call therefore aligned with the outcome on the pitch: it identified a win for St. Louis City as the most likely result, and St. Louis City won. That is the extent of the match-day verdict available from the forecast and result. The probability estimates describe the model's view before kick-off; the final result records what happened. They offer no account of when the goals came or the events that produced them.

See every number for this game in the Match Center →

How this was written: an AI writer drafts the words from Goalorithm's own data. Every figure is filled in from our model and match records, never by the writer, and nothing we don't hold is guessed. Probabilities are model estimates, not certainties.

For informational/entertainment purposes only — not betting or financial advice. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Major League Soccer

New York Red Bulls vs St. Louis City

Wed, Sep 30 · 7:30 PM ET · Sports Illustrated Stadium

Full time

0–3

Half-time 0–1

The model before the game

New York Red Bulls
26.4%
Draw
23.5%
St. Louis City
50.2%

The model's most likely outcome happened.

The numbers

New York Red BullsStatisticSt. Louis City
46%possession54%
0shots on target0
Open the Match Center

SoccerPreview· Primeira Liga

Moreirense vs GIL Vicente Prediction & Preview (October 9)

Moreirense vs GIL Vicente in Primeira Liga, Friday, October 9. Goalorithm's model makes GIL Vicente win the most likely result at 37.5%. Form, the table, head-to-head and the likeliest scores.

Fri, Oct 9 · 1:45 PM ET

SoccerPreview· Eredivisie

PSV Eindhoven vs Heerenveen Prediction & Preview (October 9)

PSV Eindhoven vs Heerenveen in Eredivisie, Friday, October 9. Goalorithm's model makes PSV Eindhoven win the most likely result at 72.7%. Form, the table, team news, head-to-head and the likeliest scores.

Fri, Oct 9 · 2:00 PM ET