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GOALORITHM / FTB

Match analysis · Friendlies

Research workspace

Argentina 4-0 Bolivia: Match Analysis & Model Review

Argentina 4-0 Bolivia in a friendly, Wednesday, September 30: how the goals came and how Goalorithm's model called it.

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Published October 1, 2026 · By the Goalorithm model desk

Read the preview written before kickoff →

Match report

Argentina beat Bolivia 4-0 in a friendly on Wednesday, September 30, with L. Martinez, N. Paz, C. Romero and J. Lopez scoring. The half-time score was 2-0, and Argentina extended its advantage after the break to complete a 4-0 win for Argentina over Bolivia.

The scoring was spread across the match: Argentina moved ahead in the 19th minute, added to its lead in the 29th minute, then scored again in the 54th minute and 86th minute. Only Argentina ever led.

How it unfolded

L. Martinez opened the scoring for Argentina in the 19th minute, making it 1-0. N. Paz followed in the 29th minute to put Argentina 2-0 ahead, the score at half-time.

In the 54th minute, C. Romero scored for Argentina to make it 3-0. Bolivia did not score before J. Lopez completed the scoring in the 86th minute, setting the final score at 4-0. The goals arrived across both halves, with Argentina adding to its lead after the interval.

The numbers

Argentina scored four goals, while Bolivia finished with no goals; the match total was four goals. Argentina held a four-goal lead at 4-0, its biggest advantage in the match.

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The half-time score, 2-0, shows that Argentina had already established a lead before the break. Further goals after the interval took the score to 4-0, while Bolivia remained without a goal.

Standout performers

L. Martinez and N. Paz scored before half-time, putting Argentina ahead and extending its advantage. Their goals shaped the score at the interval, 2-0, and gave Argentina a platform to build on after the restart.

C. Romero added to the lead in the 54th minute, and J. Lopez rounded off the scoring in the 86th minute. The goals came from four different scorers, with contributions in each half.

How the model called it

Before kick-off, it gave Argentina a win probability of 82.9%, a draw probability of 12.3% and Bolivia a win probability of 4.8%. Its most likely outcome was Argentina to win; it assigned the actual result a probability of 82.9%. The model's most likely outcome happened.

The match ended 4-0, with Argentina scoring in both halves and Bolivia unable to find a goal. That outcome matched the model's pre-match call.

See every number for this game in the Match Center →

How this was written: an AI writer drafts the words from Goalorithm's own data. Every figure is filled in from our model and match records, never by the writer, and nothing we don't hold is guessed. Probabilities are model estimates, not certainties.

For informational/entertainment purposes only — not betting or financial advice. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Friendlies

Argentina vs Bolivia

Wed, Sep 30 · 8:00 PM ET · Estadio Mario Alberto Kempes

Full time

4–0

Half-time 2–0

  • 19'L. Martinez1–0
  • 29'N. Paz2–0
  • 54'C. Romero3–0
  • 86'J. Lopez4–0

The model before the game

Argentina
82.9%
Draw
12.3%
Bolivia
4.8%

The model's most likely outcome happened.

Open the Match Center

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