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GOALORITHM / FTB

Preview · Friendlies

Research workspace

Argentina vs Bolivia Prediction & Preview (September 30)

Argentina vs Bolivia in a friendly, Wednesday, September 30. Goalorithm's model makes Argentina win the most likely result at 60.9%. Form, head-to-head and the likeliest scores.

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Published September 28, 2026 · By the Goalorithm model desk

Full time: Argentina 4–0 Bolivia. Read the match analysis →

Preview

Argentina host Bolivia in a friendly on Wednesday, September 30, with kick-off at 8:00 p.m. ET. The model’s likeliest result is an Argentina win; its expected-goals figures point to a match in which the hosts are expected to create more scoring output.

The match is at Estadio Mario Alberto Kempes, Cordoba. Argentina arrive after a run of wins, while Bolivia’s recent results include a sequence of defeats. The latest meeting between the sides was a heavy Argentina victory, though the broader head-to-head record also includes a Bolivia win.

What the model expects

These probabilities are estimates. The model’s outcome order is an Argentina win (60.9%), then a draw (26%), then a Bolivia win (13.1%). Its expected-goals figures are 1.6 for Argentina and 0.2 for Bolivia, setting out a clear difference in the scoring output it projects for the sides.

The model forecasts under 2.5 goals at 75.2%, with over 2.5 goals at 24.8% for the alternative. It gives both teams scoring 11.4%; the probability that at least one side fails to score is 88.6%. The leading exact-score forecasts are 1-0 at 26.6%, 0-0 at 21.7% and 2-0 at 19.8%. Those options include a narrow Argentina win and a goalless draw, alongside a home victory.

Form and standings

More soccer news

All news →

SoccerPreview· Primeira Liga

Moreirense vs GIL Vicente Prediction & Preview (October 9)

Moreirense vs GIL Vicente in Primeira Liga, Friday, October 9. Goalorithm's model makes GIL Vicente win the most likely result at 37.5%. Form, the table, head-to-head and the likeliest scores.

Fri, Oct 9 · 1:45 PM ET

SoccerPreview· Eredivisie

PSV Eindhoven vs Heerenveen Prediction & Preview (October 9)

PSV Eindhoven vs Heerenveen in Eredivisie, Friday, October 9. Goalorithm's model makes PSV Eindhoven win the most likely result at 72.7%. Form, the table, team news, head-to-head and the likeliest scores.

Fri, Oct 9 · 2:00 PM ET

Matches
Predictions
My Picks

Argentina’s listed sequence is WWWWW, with 5 wins and 14 goals scored and 1 conceded. They are on 5 wins in a row, and their latest result was a 3-0 home win against Iceland on June 9. That recent record gives the hosts a run of positive results to bring into this fixture.

Bolivia’s sequence is LLLWL, with 1 win and 4 defeats and 3 goals scored and 11 conceded. They are on 3 defeats in a row; their most recent result was a 2-0 home defeat to Paraguay on September 27. The figures describe a difficult spell, including goals conceded as well as limited scoring. They provide context for the model’s forecast, but the match itself will supply the next result for either side.

Team news

No team news is on file yet, and line-ups have not been announced.

Head to head

Across the last 6 meetings, Argentina won 5, Bolivia won 1 and 0 were drawn. The most recent meeting was Argentina 6-0 Bolivia (October 2024). That latest score is a notable reference point, while the full record shows that the series has also included a Bolivia victory and drawn no matches. The history gives this friendly context, without determining what happens on the day.

What to watch

Argentina’s challenge is to turn the model’s projected attacking output into goals. The expected-goals figures and exact-score options frame a forecast built around limited scoring from Bolivia, but the listed outcomes also include a draw. For the visitors, the central question is whether they can produce enough in attack to alter that picture.

The recent form provides a contrast between the teams: Argentina’s run has brought wins, while Bolivia’s current sequence is made up of defeats. The head-to-head record adds another layer, with the latest meeting ending in a large Argentina win but the wider series not exclusively in their favour. Together, those details set up a clear narrative for the friendly, while the model’s figures remain estimates of this fixture rather than a settled result.

See every number for this game in the Match Center →

How this was written: an AI writer drafts the words from Goalorithm's own data. Every figure is filled in from our model and match records, never by the writer, and nothing we don't hold is guessed. Probabilities are model estimates, not certainties.

For informational/entertainment purposes only — not betting or financial advice. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Friendlies

Argentina vs Bolivia

Wed, Sep 30 · 8:00 PM ET · Estadio Mario Alberto Kempes, Cordoba

Goalorithm's model

Argentina
60.9%
Draw
26%
Bolivia
13.1%
Over 2.5 goals
24.8%
Both teams score
11.4%

Likeliest scores

  • 1–0 26.6%
  • 0–0 21.7%
  • 2–0 19.8%
Open the Match Center

SoccerPreview· Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen Prediction & Preview (October 9)

Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen in Bundesliga, Friday, October 9. Goalorithm's model makes Borussia Dortmund win the most likely result at 68.8%. Form, the table, team news, head-to-head and the likeliest scores.

Fri, Oct 9 · 2:30 PM ET

SoccerPreview· Ligue 1

Lens vs Lyon Prediction & Preview (October 9)

Lens vs Lyon in Ligue 1, Friday, October 9. Goalorithm's model makes Lens win the most likely result at 37.4%. Form, the table, team news, head-to-head and the likeliest scores.

Fri, Oct 9 · 2:45 PM ET