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Game analysis · MLB

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Chicago White Sox 7-3 Houston Astros: Game Analysis & Model Review

A 7-3 win for the Chicago White Sox over the Houston Astros in MLB, Wednesday, September 30: the box score, the top performers and how Goalorithm's model called it.

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Published September 30, 2026 · By the Goalorithm model desk

Read the preview written before the game →

Game report

The Chicago White Sox beat the Houston Astros 7-3 in MLB on Wednesday, September 30. The Chicago White Sox finished with 8 hits and 1 home run, while the Houston Astros had 5 hits and 3 home runs. The Houston Astros also committed 2 errors; the Chicago White Sox finished without an error, and the final margin was four runs.

The numbers

The Chicago White Sox beat the Houston Astros 7-3. The Chicago White Sox had 8 hits, drew 4 walks and struck out 13 times. The Houston Astros had 5 hits, 1 walk and 15 strikeouts. The Houston Astros hit 3 home runs, compared with 1 for the Chicago White Sox.

The Chicago White Sox made 0 errors, and the Houston Astros made 2. Sean Burke started for the Chicago White Sox and pitched 4 innings, allowing 4 hits and 3 runs, with 8 strikeouts on 72 pitches. Hunter Brown started for the Houston Astros and pitched ⅔ of an inning, allowing 5 hits and 4 runs (3 earned), with 1 walk and 2 strikeouts on 36 pitches.

Top performers

Chase Meidroth led the Chicago White Sox at the plate and went 2 for 3 with a home run, 3 RBIs and 1 run scored.

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For the Houston Astros, Jeremy Pena went 2 for 4 with a home run, 1 RBI and 1 run scored, Jose Altuve went 2 for 4 with a home run, 1 RBI and 1 run scored, and Cam Smith went 1 for 3 with a home run, 1 RBI and 1 run scored.

How the model called it

Before the game, Goalorithm's model gave the Houston Astros 48.4% to win and the Chicago White Sox 51.6%. Those chances were estimates, not certainties. The model's favorite was the Chicago White Sox to win, and the model's favorite won.

The teams scored ten runs in all, above the 9.2 the model projected.

See every number for this game in the Game Center →

How this was written: an AI writer drafts the words from Goalorithm's own data. Every figure is filled in from our model and game records, never by the writer, and nothing we don't hold is guessed. Probabilities are model estimates, not certainties.

For informational/entertainment purposes only — not betting or financial advice. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.

MLB

Houston Astros vs Chicago White Sox

Wed, Sep 30 · 5:00 PM ET

Final

3–7

The model before the game

Houston Astros
48.4%
Chicago White Sox
51.6%

The model's favourite won.

The numbers

Houston AstrosStatisticChicago White Sox
5hits8
1walks4
2errors0
3home runs1
15strikeouts13
Open the Game Center

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