Published October 2, 2026 · By the Goalorithm model desk
Preview
The Los Angeles Dodgers visit the Atlanta Braves in MLB on Wednesday, October 7, with first pitch at 6:00 p.m. ET. Both clubs have finished the regular season, and this is a postseason game.
What the model expects
Goalorithm’s estimates give the Atlanta Braves a 48.4% chance to win and the Los Angeles Dodgers a 51.6% chance; these are estimates, not certainties. The model’s likelier result is a Los Angeles Dodgers win.
The model projects 4.2 runs for the Atlanta Braves and 4.3 for the Los Angeles Dodgers, 8.5 combined. Its chances of either team winning by two runs or more are 30.9% for the Atlanta Braves and 34.1% for the Los Angeles Dodgers.
Form and standings
The Atlanta Braves finished the regular season 94-68, with a run differential of +116; their season line was 742 runs scored and 626 allowed. The Los Angeles Dodgers finished 100-62, with a run differential of +201; their season line was 801 runs scored and 600 allowed. The Los Angeles Dodgers have the better record.
The Atlanta Braves went 3-2 in their last 5 games, with 25 runs scored and 17 allowed. Their latest result was a 6-2 home win over the Philadelphia Phillies on October 1. The Los Angeles Dodgers also went 3-2 in their last 5 games, with 14 runs scored and 13 allowed; their latest was a 5-1 road win over the San Francisco Giants on September 27. The Los Angeles Dodgers are on 3 straight wins.