Published October 1, 2026 · By the Goalorithm model desk
Preview
The Cleveland Guardians visit the Chicago White Sox in MLB on Wednesday, October 7, with first pitch at 4:00 p.m. ET. Both clubs have finished the regular season, making this a postseason game. The matchup pairs the Chicago White Sox’s regular-season record and run differential with the Cleveland Guardians’ record and recent results.
What the model expects
Goalorithm’s figures are estimates, not certainties. The model gives the Chicago White Sox a 56.8% chance to win and the Cleveland Guardians a 43.2% chance; its likelier result is a Chicago White Sox win.
The model projects 4.6 runs for the Chicago White Sox and 4.2 for the Cleveland Guardians, with 8.8 in all. Its chance of the Chicago White Sox winning by two runs or more is 37.4%, while its chance of the Cleveland Guardians doing so is 28%.
Form and standings
The Chicago White Sox finished the regular season at 84-78, with a run differential of +56; the team had 776 runs scored and 720 allowed. The Cleveland Guardians finished at 85-77, with a run differential of +11; the team had 678 runs scored and 667 allowed. The Cleveland Guardians have the better record.
The Cleveland Guardians went 3-2 in their last 5 games, with 26 runs scored and 18 allowed. Their results, most recent first, were LWWWL. The Cleveland Guardians’ latest result was a 3-2 road loss to the Kansas City Royals on September 27.