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Game analysis · MLB

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New York Yankees 9-2 Boston Red Sox: Game Analysis & Model Review

A 9-2 win for the New York Yankees over the Boston Red Sox in MLB, Wednesday, September 30: the box score, the top performers and how Goalorithm's model called it.

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Published September 30, 2026 · By the Goalorithm model desk

Read the preview written before the game →

Game report

The New York Yankees beat the Boston Red Sox 9-2 in MLB on Wednesday, September 30. The New York Yankees finished with 14 hits, while the Boston Red Sox had 4; the New York Yankees won by seven runs.

The New York Yankees got home runs from Cody Bellinger and Luis Garcia Jr.. The Boston Red Sox had home runs from Willson Contreras and Nick Sogard, as the New York Yankees secured the win.

The numbers

The New York Yankees collected 14 hits, drew 3 walks and struck out 10 times. The New York Yankees committed 0 errors and hit 2 home runs.

The Boston Red Sox collected 4 hits, drew 2 walks and struck out 8 times. The Boston Red Sox committed 1 error and hit 2 home runs.

Max Fried pitched 6 innings, allowing 3 hits and 1 run, with 1 walk and 6 strikeouts on 98 pitches for the New York Yankees. Sonny Gray pitched 4⅔ innings, allowing 6 hits and 2 runs, with 5 strikeouts on 70 pitches for the Boston Red Sox.

Top performers

Cody Bellinger went 2 for 5 with a home run, 4 RBIs and 1 run scored for the New York Yankees. Luis Garcia Jr. went 3 for 5 with a home run, 1 RBI and 1 run scored for the New York Yankees, while Austin Wells went 1 for 3 with 2 RBIs and 1 run scored.

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Willson Contreras went 2 for 2 with a home run, 1 RBI and 1 run scored for the Boston Red Sox. Nick Sogard went 1 for 3 with a home run, 1 RBI and 1 run scored for the Boston Red Sox.

How the model called it

The model's probabilities were estimates: the model gives the New York Yankees 63.8% and the Boston Red Sox 36.2%. The model's favorite was the New York Yankees to win, and the model's favorite won.

The teams scored 11 runs in all, above the 8 the model projected.

See every number for this game in the Game Center →

How this was written: an AI writer drafts the words from Goalorithm's own data. Every figure is filled in from our model and game records, never by the writer, and nothing we don't hold is guessed. Probabilities are model estimates, not certainties.

For informational/entertainment purposes only — not betting or financial advice. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.

MLB

New York Yankees vs Boston Red Sox

Wed, Sep 30 · 8:00 PM ET

Final

9–2

The model before the game

New York Yankees
63.8%
Boston Red Sox
36.2%

The model's favourite won.

The numbers

New York YankeesStatisticBoston Red Sox
14hits4
3walks2
0errors1
2home runs2
10strikeouts8
Open the Game Center

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