Every number says whose it is. No sport's numbers are validated as better than the bookmakers' yet. How we grade
Bookmakers: Notre Dame Fighting Irish 95%
Bookmakers: Texas Tech Red Raiders 60%
Bookmakers: Iowa Hawkeyes 55%
Bookmakers: SMU Mustangs 76%
Bookmakers: NC State Wolfpack 70%
Bookmakers: Western Michigan Broncos 81%
Bookmakers: Michigan Wolverines 84%
Bookmakers: Ole Miss Rebels 80%
Bookmakers: Colorado Buffaloes 53%
Bookmakers: Georgia State Panthers 64%
Bookmakers: Air Force Falcons 51%
Bookmakers: East Carolina Pirates 64%
Bookmakers: Louisiana Tech Bulldogs 66%
Bookmakers: Georgia Bulldogs 79%
Bookmakers: North Dakota State Bison 93%
Bookmakers: Southern Miss Golden Eagles 61%
Bookmakers: Utah Utes 70%
Bookmakers: Wake Forest Demon Deacons 80%
Bookmakers: New Mexico Lobos 83%
Bookmakers: Penn State Nittany Lions 76%
Bookmakers: UCLA Bruins 92%
Bookmakers: Oklahoma Sooners 60%
Bookmakers: Georgia Southern Eagles 66%
Bookmakers: Oklahoma State Cowboys 75%
Bookmakers: San Diego State Aztecs 56%
Bookmakers: Miami Hurricanes 83%
Bookmakers: Ohio State Buckeyes 68%
Bookmakers: Texas Longhorns 89%
Bookmakers: Nebraska Cornhuskers 72%
Bookmakers: Memphis Tigers 66%
Bookmakers: Boise State Broncos 78%
How each source has done, last 30 days
Soccer
Model + bookmakers blend (ours): its favourite won 59% of 374, after saying 53%: too cautious · Model (ours): too few to say (6) · Bookmakers or data provider: too few to say (1). Over 463 matches in the last 60 days, the bookmakers' closing prices were slightly more accurate than ours.
NFL/College
Bookmakers: their favourite won 66% of 237, after their prices said 68% · Model (ours): too few to say (2) · Default (home side): too few to say (2).
MLB
No graded model of ours yet · Bookmakers: their favourite won 56% of 34, after their prices said 56%.
Basketball
No graded model of ours yet · Bookmakers: too few to say (16).