Published October 24, 2026 · By the Goalorithm model desk
Preview
The Bowling Green Falcons visit the Western Michigan Broncos in college football on Saturday, October 31, with kickoff at 12:00 p.m. ET. The model points strongly toward the Western Michigan Broncos, while the season records and recent results give this matchup distinct context.
What the model expects
The model gives the Western Michigan Broncos an 88% chance to win and the Bowling Green Falcons a 12% chance. Its likelier result is a Western Michigan Broncos win; this estimate is at the model’s 88% ceiling, and the probabilities are estimates rather than certainties.
The projected score is Western Michigan Broncos 30, Bowling Green Falcons 14.7, for 44.7 points in all. The projected margin is the Western Michigan Broncos by 15.3 points.
Records and recent results
The Western Michigan Broncos are 5-2 overall this season, with 175 points scored and 118 allowed in 7 games. The Bowling Green Falcons are 2-5, with 126 points scored and 207 allowed in 7 games; the Western Michigan Broncos have the better record.
The Bowling Green Falcons lost 32-31 at home to the Ball State Cardinals on October 17, and before that beat the Sacramento State Hornets 38-10 at home on October 10 and beat the Miami (OH) RedHawks 24-20 on the road on October 3. That sequence brings a narrow loss in the latest game alongside wins in the two preceding results.