Published October 24, 2026 · By the Goalorithm model desk
Preview
The New Mexico Lobos visit the San José State Spartans in college football on Saturday, October 31, with kickoff at 4:00 p.m. ET. The model gives this matchup a strong lean toward New Mexico, while the Spartans come off a road loss and the Lobos arrive after wins in their latest results.
What the model expects
The model gives the San José State Spartans 12% to win and the New Mexico Lobos 88%; its likelier result is a New Mexico Lobos win. These projections are estimates. It projects 15.6 points for the Spartans and 30.9 for the Lobos, with 46.5 in all, and a margin of the New Mexico Lobos by 15.3 points.
Records and recent results
The New Mexico Lobos have the better record. The New Mexico Lobos are 5-1 overall this season, with 238 points scored and 63 allowed in 6 games. The San José State Spartans are 4-4, with 163 points scored and 180 allowed in 8 games.
The San José State Spartans lost 28-13 on the road to the Nevada Wolf Pack on October 24, and before that beat the UTEP Miners 24-11 on the road on October 17 and lost 16-13 at home to the Wyoming Cowboys on October 9. The New Mexico Lobos beat the Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors 21-10 on the road on October 17, and before that beat the UTEP Miners 61-7 at home on October 3 and beat the New Mexico State Aggies 42-18 on the road on September 26.