Published October 24, 2026 · By the Goalorithm model desk
Preview
The Virginia Cavaliers visit the Wake Forest Demon Deacons in college football on Saturday, October 31, with kickoff at 3:45 p.m. ET. Wake Forest arrive with a strong recent run of results, while Virginia come off consecutive losses; the model makes the Demon Deacons the likelier result.
What the model expects
Goalorithm’s model gives Wake Forest 77.8% to win and Virginia 22.2%; these are estimates, not certainties. Its likelier result is a Wake Forest Demon Deacons win. The projected score is Wake Forest 31.1, Virginia 21.2, with 52.3 points in all, and a projected margin of the Wake Forest Demon Deacons by 9.9 points.
Records and recent results
The Wake Forest Demon Deacons are 6-1 overall this season, with 262 points scored and 136 allowed in 7 games. The Virginia Cavaliers are 4-4 overall, with 226 points scored and 157 allowed in 8 games. The Wake Forest Demon Deacons have the better record.
The Wake Forest Demon Deacons beat the California Golden Bears 41-7 on the road on October 17, and before that beat the NC State Wolfpack 38-14 on the road on October 10 and beat the Stanford Cardinal 57-3 at home on October 3. Those road wins and home win give Wake Forest a recent sequence of three victories, with the California result the latest. The Virginia Cavaliers’ latest results are less settled: the Virginia Cavaliers lost 19-16 at home to the Duke Blue Devils on October 23, and before that lost 23-13 on the road to the SMU Mustangs on October 17 and beat the Syracuse Orange 28-25 at home on October 10. Virginia’s win over Syracuse sits between losses to SMU and Duke.
