Published October 25, 2026 · By the Goalorithm model desk
Preview
The Oklahoma State Cowboys visit the Iowa State Cyclones in college football on Saturday, October 31, with kickoff at 7:00 p.m. ET. The model gives the Oklahoma State Cowboys 71% to win and the Iowa State Cyclones 29%; those probabilities are estimates.
What the model expects
The model's likelier result is an Oklahoma State Cowboys win. Its projected points are Iowa State Cyclones 24.9 and Oklahoma State Cowboys 32, for 56.9 in all, with a projected margin of the Oklahoma State Cowboys by 7.1 points.
Records and recent results
The Iowa State Cyclones are 3-4 overall this season, with 181 points scored and 169 allowed in 7 games. The Oklahoma State Cowboys are 5-2, with 280 points scored and 166 allowed in 7 games; the Oklahoma State Cowboys have the better record.
The Iowa State Cyclones lost 39-3 on the road to the Arizona Wildcats on October 24, and before that lost 24-10 on the road to the BYU Cougars on October 9 and beat the West Virginia Mountaineers 45-42 at home on October 3.
The Oklahoma State Cowboys beat the Colorado Buffaloes 57-24 at home on October 24, and before that lost 35-32 on the road to the Houston Cougars on October 17 and beat the UCF Knights 42-28 at home on October 10.