Published October 24, 2026 · By the Goalorithm model desk
Preview
The UTEP Miners visit the North Dakota State Bison in college football on Saturday, October 31, with kickoff at 3:30 p.m. ET. North Dakota State’s strong season record meets a UTEP team whose listed recent results have all been losses, setting up a clear contrast in form without making the outcome certain.
What the model expects
Goalorithm’s model gives the North Dakota State Bison 88% to win and the UTEP Miners 12%. Those probabilities are estimates, not certainties; the model’s likelier result is a North Dakota State Bison win.
The projected score is 30.9 for North Dakota State and 15.7 for UTEP, with 46.6 points in all. The model projects the North Dakota State Bison by 15.2 points. That is a substantial expected scoring gap, while the win probabilities still leave UTEP a chance.
Records and recent results
The North Dakota State Bison are 6-1 overall this season, with 206 points scored and 79 allowed in 7 games. The UTEP Miners are 1-6, with 106 points scored and 261 allowed in 7 games; the North Dakota State Bison have the better record.
The North Dakota State Bison beat the Nevada Wolf Pack 31-17 at home on October 17, and before that lost 13-7 on the road to the UNLV Rebels on October 10 and beat the Wyoming Cowboys 28-0 at home on October 3. UTEP’s latest results have gone the other way: the UTEP Miners lost 24-11 at home to the San José State Spartans on October 17, and before that lost 30-13 at home to the Nevada Wolf Pack on October 10 and lost 61-7 on the road to the New Mexico Lobos on October 3.