Published October 24, 2026 · By the Goalorithm model desk
Preview
The Mississippi State Bulldogs visit the Texas Longhorns in college football on Saturday, October 31, with kickoff set for 7:30 p.m. ET. The model’s likelier result is a Texas Longhorns win; the season records and the Mississippi State Bulldogs’ latest results provide the available form context for the matchup.
There is a clear contrast between the model’s projected points for each team and the recent outcomes in the Mississippi State Bulldogs’ schedule. The Texas Longhorns enter with their own season record, while the Mississippi State Bulldogs arrive after losses in each of their latest listed games.
What the model expects
Goalorithm’s figures are estimates, not certainties. The model gives the Texas Longhorns 82.8% and the Mississippi State Bulldogs 17.2% to win. It projects 32.6 points for the Texas Longhorns, 20.2 for the Mississippi State Bulldogs, and 52.8 in all, with a projected margin of the Texas Longhorns by 12.4 points.
That forecast sets the Texas Longhorns at the higher projected point total and makes a Texas Longhorns win the model’s likelier result. The projection is specific to this game; it does not change the fact that both teams bring winning season records into the matchup.
Records and recent results
The Texas Longhorns are 4-2 overall this season, with 181 points scored and 107 allowed in 6 games. The Mississippi State Bulldogs are 4-3, with 210 points scored and 194 allowed in 7 games; the Texas Longhorns have the better record.