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Game analysis · MLB

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Chicago White Sox 6-3 Houston Astros: Game Analysis & Model Review

A 6-3 win for the Chicago White Sox over the Houston Astros in MLB, Tuesday, September 29: the box score, the top performers and how Goalorithm's model called it.

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Published September 29, 2026 · By the Goalorithm model desk

Read the preview written before the game →

Game report

The Chicago White Sox beat the Houston Astros 6-3 in MLB on Tuesday, September 29. The Chicago White Sox finished with 11 hits, while the Houston Astros had 6.

The Chicago White Sox also drew 4 walks; the Houston Astros drew 2.

The numbers

The Chicago White Sox had 11 hits and 1 home run, while the Houston Astros had 6 hits and 1 home run. Each team made 1 error.

The Chicago White Sox struck out 8 times and drew 4 walks; the Houston Astros struck out 7 times and drew 2 walks. The teams scored nine runs in all, below the 9.2 the model projected.

Top performers

For the Houston Astros, Nelson Velazquez went 1 for 3 with a home run, 2 RBIs and 1 run scored. Houston Astros starter AJ Blubaugh pitched ⅔ of an inning, allowing no hits and 1 run (0 earned), with 3 walks on 27 pitches.

For the Chicago White Sox, Colson Montgomery went 1 for 3 with a home run, 1 RBI and 1 run scored, and Sam Antonacci went 1 for 3 with 2 RBIs and 1 run scored. Chicago White Sox starter Hagen Smith pitched 3 innings, allowing 2 hits and no runs, with 1 strikeout on 38 pitches.

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Cleveland Guardians at Chicago White Sox in MLB, Wednesday, October 7. Goalorithm's model makes a Chicago White Sox win the likelier result at 56.8%. The preview covers form and the standings.

Wed, Oct 7 · 4:00 PM ET

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Los Angeles Dodgers vs Atlanta Braves Prediction & Preview (October 7)

Los Angeles Dodgers at Atlanta Braves in MLB, Wednesday, October 7. Goalorithm's model makes a Los Angeles Dodgers win the likelier result at 51.6%. The preview covers form and the standings.

Wed, Oct 7 · 6:00 PM ET

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How the model called it

Before the game, the model gave the Houston Astros 48.4% to win and the Chicago White Sox 51.6%. These were estimates, not certainties. The model's favorite was the Chicago White Sox to win, and the model's favorite won.

See every number for this game in the Game Center →

How this was written: an AI writer drafts the words from Goalorithm's own data. Every figure is filled in from our model and game records, never by the writer, and nothing we don't hold is guessed. Probabilities are model estimates, not certainties.

For informational/entertainment purposes only — not betting or financial advice. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.

MLB

Houston Astros vs Chicago White Sox

Tue, Sep 29 · 5:00 PM ET

Final

3–6

The model before the game

Houston Astros
48.4%
Chicago White Sox
51.6%

The model's favourite won.

The numbers

Houston AstrosStatisticChicago White Sox
6hits11
2walks4
1errors1
1home runs1
7strikeouts8
Open the Game Center

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Tampa Bay Rays at New York Yankees in MLB, Wednesday, October 7. Goalorithm's model makes a New York Yankees win the likelier result at 57.7%. The preview covers form and the standings.

Wed, Oct 7 · 8:00 PM ET

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Wed, Oct 7 · 10:00 PM ET