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Match analysis · Serie A

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Cagliari 0-2 Bologna: Match Analysis & Model Review

Cagliari 0-2 Bologna in Serie A, Saturday, October 24: how Goalorithm's model called it.

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Published October 24, 2026 · By the Goalorithm model desk

Read the preview written before kickoff →

Match report

Cagliari lost 0-2 to Bologna in Serie A on Saturday, October 24, with a 2-0 win for Bologna over Cagliari. The sides were level at the break, but the match ended with Bologna scoring and Cagliari unable to find a goal. That is the central shape of the result: a goalless first half followed by a win for Bologna, whose goals proved enough to settle the contest.

At Unipol Domus, the scoreline gives a clear account of the outcome without suggesting a more eventful first half than the facts support. Cagliari had not conceded by half-time, yet could not carry that parity through to the final whistle. For Bologna, the task was to turn the stalemate into a winning result after the interval, and the final score shows that they did so.

How it unfolded

The first half finished 0-0. Neither side had scored at that point, leaving the result open as the teams went into the interval. The scoring came after the break: Bologna registered two goals, while Cagliari finished with no goals. The goals were enough to make the final score 0-2; the available account does not specify their timing or the order in which they arrived.

With two goals in all, the match was decided by the difference between the sides rather than a high-scoring exchange. Cagliari could not answer the goals, and Bologna completed the match with the victory recorded in a 2-0 win for Bologna over Cagliari.

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The numbers

Goalorithm’s pre-match probabilities are estimates. Before kickoff, the model assigned a Cagliari win 33.5%, a draw 30.9% and a Bologna win 35.6%. Those figures show how the model distributed its view across the three possible outcomes before play began; the eventual scoreline records a win for Bologna.

The result also means the match moved from a level half-time score to a decisive finish, with Cagliari left without a goal. The scoreline is consistent with a straightforward outcome on the scoreboard, while offering no basis for claims about possession, chances or the balance of play.

How the model called it

Before kickoff, the model’s most likely outcome was Bologna to win. It gave the actual result 35.6%, and the model's most likely outcome happened. The call therefore identified the side that would win, while the probability attached to that outcome remained a forecast rather than a certainty.

The final score confirmed the direction of the model’s pick: Bologna won, and Cagliari did not score. That is the extent of what can be concluded from the match details and the pre-match call. The prediction and the result aligned, with the scoreline supplying the decisive confirmation.

See every number for this game in the Match Center →

How this was written: an AI writer drafts the words from Goalorithm's own data. Every figure is filled in from our model and match records, never by the writer, and nothing we don't hold is guessed. Probabilities are model estimates, not certainties.

For informational/entertainment purposes only — not betting or financial advice. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Serie A

Cagliari vs Bologna

Sat, Oct 24 · 9:00 AM ET · Unipol Domus

Full time

0–2

Half-time 0–0

The model before the game

Cagliari
33.5%
Draw
30.9%
Bologna
35.6%

The model's most likely outcome happened.

Open the Match Center

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