Published October 25, 2026 · By the Goalorithm model desk
Read the preview written before kickoff →
Match report
Cambuur beat Willem II 1-6 in Eredivisie on Saturday, October 24, turning a match that was already firmly in their hands by the interval into a decisive away win. Willem II were unable to keep the contest close after the break, while Cambuur’s scoring continued and left the home side with little room to change the outcome.
The scoreline captures the scale of the result, but the interval score also shows how early the match tilted towards Cambuur. From that position, Willem II needed a response to alter the shape of the contest; instead, the final margin grew.
The numbers
Before kick-off, Goalorithm’s model gave Willem II a win probability of 33.6%, a draw probability of 26.8% and a Cambuur win probability of 39.6%. These are estimates, not certainties, and the distribution shows that the model allowed for all three outcomes rather than treating a Cambuur victory as inevitable.
The model’s outlook therefore pointed towards Cambuur without ruling out a draw or a Willem II win. The match supplied a clear result, but that should not be confused with certainty before kick-off: the model assigned a probability to each outcome, and the eventual score came from the game itself. The figures describe the model’s assessment in advance, not a guarantee of how the match would unfold.