Published October 22, 2026 · By the Goalorithm model desk
Preview
Willem II host Cambuur in Eredivisie on Saturday, October 24, with kickoff at 12:45 p.m. ET. The fixture brings together a Willem II side whose recent run has been difficult and a Cambuur team carrying an unbeaten sequence into the visit. Goalorithm’s model names a Cambuur win as its likeliest result, but the match probabilities leave scope for a different outcome.
The table picture is stated plainly by the standings: Cambuur sit above Willem II. The contrast in recent form gives this meeting a clear storyline, with Willem II looking to halt a difficult spell and Cambuur seeking to extend its run. The figures offer an expectation, not a verdict on how the match will unfold.
What the model expects
The probabilities are estimates. From likeliest down, the model’s outcomes are a Cambuur win (39.6%), then a Willem II win (33.6%), then a draw (26.8%). That makes a Cambuur win its leading result, while the draw and a Willem II win remain part of the forecast rather than being ruled out.
The model expects Willem II to score 1.1 goals and Cambuur to score 1.9. Its goals outlook is over 2.5 goals at 57.5%, with under 2.5 goals at 42.5% also in the distribution. It gives both teams a chance of scoring at 57.1%; the chance that at least one side fails to score is 42.9%. These figures describe a match where goals from both sides are plausible, while leaving room for one team to be kept off the scoresheet.
The listed exact-score forecasts are 1-1 at 13.2%, 1-2 at 9.3%, and 0-0 at 9.3%. They include a draw, a Cambuur win and a goalless outcome, illustrating the range of possible scorelines in the model rather than pointing to one certain script. The broader forecast favours Cambuur, but the exact-score probabilities are spread across several outcomes.