Published October 3, 2026 · By the Goalorithm model desk
Preview
Swansea host Norwich in the Championship on Saturday, October 10 at 7:30 a.m. ET, with Swansea.com Stadium, Swansea as the venue. Swansea arrive from a 2-1 away win against Lincoln on September 19, while Norwich’s most recent result was a 4-3 home defeat to Bolton on September 20.
What the model expects
These probabilities are estimates. The model's likeliest result is a Swansea win, and its order is a Swansea win (40%), then a Norwich win (31.9%), then a draw (28.1%).
The model gives Swansea 40%, a draw 28.1% and Norwich 31.9%. Its expected-goals figures are 1.8 for Swansea and 0.9 for Norwich. The likeliest scorelines are 1-1 (13.1%), 0-0 (10.9%) and 2-0 (10.5%).
For the total-goals line, the model gives over 2.5 goals at 49.5% and under 2.5 goals at 50.6%. It gives both teams scoring 48.6%, and at least one side failing to score 51.4%.
Form and standings
Swansea’s recent sequence is WWLDW. Across that run, they have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, with 8 goals scored and 5 conceded; their current run is 2 wins in a row.
Norwich’s sequence is LLWWL, with 2 wins and 3 defeats and 11 goals scored and 11 conceded. They are on 2 defeats in a row.
Swansea sit 1st in Championship with 17 points from 8 games, while Norwich sit 17th in Championship with 9 points from 8 games. Swansea sit above Norwich.