Published October 25, 2026 · By the Goalorithm model desk
Read the preview written before kickoff →
Match report
Sporting Kansas City and Austin finished 0-0 in Major League Soccer on Saturday, October 24, sharing a 0-0 draw. Neither side scored: no goals for Sporting Kansas City and no goals for Austin, with no goals in all. The scoreline leaves the match defined by the draw rather than by a goal from either team. It is a straightforward outcome to state, but it does not match the model’s most likely pre-match call.
The game took place at Children's Mercy Park. The final score records the same number of goals for both sides, and the total confirms that there was no scoring across the match. With no goals on either side of the scoreline, the result is a draw; there is no winning team to separate in the final score. Those are the match’s clearest conclusions, and they are also the basis for assessing the model’s forecast.
The numbers
Before kickoff, Goalorithm’s estimates gave Sporting Kansas City a win probability of 42.6%, a draw probability of 24.4% and Austin a win probability of 33%. These are estimates of possible outcomes, not a record of what happened on the pitch. The match itself ended in a draw, and the model had assigned that outcome 24.4%.
That figure describes the model’s pre-match view of the draw, while the final score establishes that the draw was the outcome on the day. The three outcome estimates set out the model’s full forecast across a Sporting Kansas City win, a draw and an Austin win. The scoreline supplies the actual result for that forecast to be judged against; it does not change what the model had estimated before kickoff.