Published October 23, 2026 · By the Goalorithm model desk
Preview
San Diego host Seattle Sounders in Major League Soccer on Saturday, October 24 at 10:30 p.m. ET. The model's likeliest result is a Seattle Sounders win, though a draw is also prominent in its outlook. The clubs meet with contrasting recent patterns: San Diego are unbeaten in their last 2, while Seattle Sounders are without a win in their last 2.
What the model expects
The probabilities are estimates. The model gives San Diego 25.9%, the draw 29.5% and Seattle Sounders 44.6%, with a Seattle Sounders win its likeliest result. Expected goals are 1.3 for San Diego and 1.5 for Seattle Sounders.
The model has over 2.5 goals at 52% and under 2.5 goals at 48% for the total. It gives both teams scoring 55.7%, while the probability that at least one side fails to score is 44.3%. Its likeliest exact score is 1-1 at 13.3%, followed by 0-0 at 9.3% and 1-2 at 8.2%. That points to a close contest, with a level scoreline among the model's leading possibilities.
Form and standings
San Diego have 4 draws and 1 defeat across their last 5 games, with 11 goals scored and 14 conceded. Their latest result was a 2-2 away draw with Los Angeles Galaxy on October 17; they remain unbeaten in their last 2. The latest draw fits a run with draws prominent, leaving them to seek a change in outcome against Seattle Sounders.
Seattle Sounders have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat across their last 5, with 9 goals scored and 4 conceded. Their latest outing was a 1-1 home draw with CF Montreal on October 17, and they are without a win in their last 2. The recent sequence includes wins, but their latest result was a draw, and they are without a win in their last 2.