Published October 23, 2026 · By the Goalorithm model desk
Preview
Real Salt Lake host St. Louis City in Major League Soccer on Saturday, October 24 at 8:30 p.m. ET. The model's likeliest result is a St. Louis City win, while the teams arrive after contrasting latest results: a 3-1 away win against Sporting Kansas City on October 17, and a 3-2 away defeat to Minnesota United FC on October 17.
At America First Field, Sandy, the model puts the visitors' win first in its outcome ordering. The recent results and the table provide further context for a fixture in which the model also projects goals for both sides.
What the model expects
The probabilities are estimates. The model gives Real Salt Lake 29.3%, a draw 27.6% and St. Louis City 43.1%; its ordering is a St. Louis City win (43.1%), then a Real Salt Lake win (29.3%), then a draw (27.6%).
Expected goals are 1.5 for Real Salt Lake and 1.6 for St. Louis City. The leading exact-score projections are 1-1 (12.2%), 1-2 (8.2%) and 2-1 (7.6%). The model's goals outlook is over 2.5 goals at 59%, against under 2.5 goals at 41%. It gives both teams scoring 61.3%, while at least one side fails to score 38.7%.
The projected scores include both a draw and wins for either side. The expected-goals figures are close, while the model's outcome ordering gives St. Louis City the leading result. Its goals and scoring probabilities point to a match in which goals from both teams are a notable possibility, rather than making any one exact score a certainty.