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GOALORITHM / FTB

Match analysis · Championship

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QPR 5-0 Swansea: Match Analysis & Model Review

QPR 5-0 Swansea in the Championship, Saturday, October 24: how the goals came and how Goalorithm's model called it.

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Published October 25, 2026 · By the Goalorithm model desk

Read the preview written before kickoff →

Match report

A 5-0 win for QPR over Swansea on Saturday, October 24, with QPR leading Swansea 4-0 at the interval. Richard Kone scored three goals and Jimmy Dunne added two goals, accounting for all of QPR’s goals. Swansea finished without a goal, and QPR’s scoring was complete by the 86th minute. The result was settled well before the final whistle: QPR scored repeatedly before half-time, then added another goal late on.

How it unfolded

Richard Kone opened the scoring in the 2nd minute, making it 1-0, then struck again in the 9th minute for 2-0. His penalty in the 15th minute extended QPR’s advantage to 3-0 and completed a hat-trick. The goals came in quick succession and gave QPR control of the scoreline early in the match.

Jimmy Dunne made it 4-0 in the 45th minute (+1), leaving QPR 4-0 ahead at half-time. He scored again in the 86th minute to set the final score and complete a brace. Only QPR ever led, and QPR held a five-goal lead at 5-0. The sequence left Swansea facing a substantial deficit before the break, with QPR adding the final goal late in the second half.

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QPR scored five goals; Swansea scored no goals, making five goals in all. Richard Kone’s three goals and Jimmy Dunne’s two goals account for QPR’s full return. One of Richard Kone’s goals came from the penalty spot, while Jimmy Dunne scored before the interval and late in the match. The half-time score was 4-0, and the final score was 5-0.

The scoring was entirely one-sided: QPR supplied every goal, and Swansea did not find the net. The lead reached a five-goal lead, matching the final margin.

Standout performers

R. Kone was QPR’s best-rated player, with a rating of 9.4 and 3 goals and 1 assist. His three goals and assist made him a direct contributor to QPR’s scoring. A. Idah was Swansea’s best-rated player, rated 6.7. The ratings identify the top performer for each side, while the scoreline reflects the difference in their attacking returns.

How the model called it

The model’s probabilities are estimates. Before kick-off, it gave QPR a win probability of 21.1%, a draw probability of 31.7%, and a Swansea win probability of 47.2%. Its most likely outcome was Swansea to win, while the actual result received a probability of 21.1%; the result went against the model's most likely outcome.

QPR’s emphatic win therefore arrived despite the model’s pre-match preference for Swansea. The scoring pattern was decisive: QPR had built a 4-0 lead by the interval and added another goal late, while Swansea did not score.

See every number for this game in the Match Center →

How this was written: an AI writer drafts the words from Goalorithm's own data. Every figure is filled in from our model and match records, never by the writer, and nothing we don't hold is guessed. Probabilities are model estimates, not certainties.

For informational/entertainment purposes only — not betting or financial advice. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Championship

QPR vs Swansea

Sat, Oct 24 · 10:00 AM ET · Loftus Road

Full time

5–0

Half-time 4–0

  • 2'Richard Kone1–0
  • 9'Richard Kone2–0
  • 15'Richard Kone (penalty)3–0
  • 45'+1Jimmy Dunne4–0
  • 86'Jimmy Dunne5–0

The model before the game

QPR
21.1%
Draw
31.7%
Swansea
47.2%

The result went against the model's most likely outcome.

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