Published October 22, 2026 · By the Goalorithm model desk
Preview
Preston host West Brom in the Championship on Saturday, October 24, with kick-off at 10:00 a.m. ET at Deepdale, Preston. The model points firmly towards the visitors, while Preston arrive after a heavy defeat and sit bottom of the table. West Brom’s recent win and position above Preston give the fixture a clear contrast in current results and standings.
What the model expects
The model’s likeliest result is a West Brom win, and its outcome order is a West Brom win (56.6%), then a draw (29.5%), then a Preston win (13.9%). These probabilities are estimates. Expected goals are 1 for Preston and 1.5 for West Brom, a projection that gives the visitors the edge without ruling out a close scoreline.
The model’s goals figures are over 2.5 goals at 43.7% and under 2.5 goals at 56.3%. It gives 47.3% to both teams scoring and 52.7% to at least one side failing to score. The likeliest exact scores are 1-1 (13%), 0-1 (11.8%) and 0-0 (11.2%). Its lean is West Brom to win.
Form and standings
Preston’s last 5 games read LLLDL, with 1 draw and 4 defeats and 3 goals scored and 12 conceded. Their latest result was a 4-1 away defeat to Wrexham on October 17, and they are on 3 defeats in a row. The sequence leaves little room for error as they face an opponent whose league position and recent results are stronger.
West Brom’s last 5 games read WWLLD, yielding 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats and 6 goals scored and 6 conceded. They most recently recorded a 3-2 home win against Blackburn on October 17 and are on 2 wins in a row. In the table, West Brom sit above Preston: Preston have 4 points from 11 games and West Brom have 20 points from 11 games.