Published October 21, 2026 · By the Goalorithm model desk
Preview
Plzen host Levski Sofia in the UEFA Europa League on Thursday, October 22 at 3:00 p.m. ET. The model’s likeliest result is a Levski Sofia win; its outcome order is a Levski Sofia win (38.8%), then a Plzen win (30.7%), then a draw (30.6%).
What the model expects
The model gives Plzen 30.7%, a draw 30.6% and Levski Sofia 38.8%; these probabilities are estimates. Its expected-goals figures are 1.1 for Plzen and 1.2 for Levski Sofia.
The model puts under 2.5 goals at 61.3% and over 2.5 goals at 38.7%. Its both-teams-to-score figures are 44.8% for yes and 55.2% for no. The most likely exact scores are 1-1 at 13.3%, 0-0 at 12.7% and 0-1 at 12%.
Form and standings
Plzen have 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats across their last 5 matches, with 7 goals scored and 10 conceded. Their most recent outing was a 2-1 away defeat to Ferencvarosi TC on October 15, and they are on 2 defeats in a row.
Levski Sofia have 3 draws and 2 defeats across their last 5 matches, with 2 goals scored and 4 conceded. They most recently recorded a 1-1 away draw with NEC Nijmegen on October 15 and are without a win in their last 5.
In the UEFA Europa League table, Plzen are 31st in UEFA Europa League with 0 points from 2 games, while Levski Sofia are 24th in UEFA Europa League with 1 point from 2 games. Levski Sofia sit above Plzen.