Published September 29, 2026 · By the Goalorithm model desk
Final: Atlanta Braves 5–3 Philadelphia Phillies. Read the game analysis →
Preview
The Philadelphia Phillies visit the Atlanta Braves in MLB on Tuesday, September 29, with first pitch at 2:00 p.m. ET. Both teams have finished the regular season, and this is a postseason game. The model gives the Atlanta Braves the likelier result, while recent form offers a different note: the Philadelphia Phillies arrive after their latest game ended in a win.
The model’s estimates are not certainties. Its expected scoring line is 4.6 for the Atlanta Braves and 4 for the Philadelphia Phillies, with 8.6 expected in all.
What the model expects
The model gives the Atlanta Braves a 60.7% chance to win and the Philadelphia Phillies a 39.3% chance. Its likelier result is an Atlanta Braves win.
For a win by two runs or more, the model assigns the Atlanta Braves 40.2% and the Philadelphia Phillies 25%.
Form and standings
The Atlanta Braves finished the regular season 94-68, with +116 and 742 runs scored and 626 allowed. The Philadelphia Phillies finished 88-74, with +15 and 713 runs scored and 698 allowed; the Atlanta Braves have the better record.