Published October 2, 2026 · By the Goalorithm model desk
Preview
The Los Angeles Dodgers visit the Atlanta Braves in MLB on Tuesday, October 6, with first pitch at 6:00 p.m. ET. Both clubs have finished the regular season, and this is a postseason game. The model’s likelier result is a Los Angeles Dodgers win, at 51.6%; its figures are estimates, not certainties.
What the model expects
The model gives the Atlanta Braves a 48.4% chance to win. It projects 4.2 runs for the Atlanta Braves and 4.3 for the Los Angeles Dodgers, for 8.5 total. Its chances of either team winning by two runs or more are 30.9% for the Atlanta Braves and 34.1% for the Los Angeles Dodgers.
Form and standings
The Atlanta Braves finished the regular season at 94-68, with a run differential of +116 (742 runs scored and 626 allowed). The Los Angeles Dodgers finished at 100-62, with a run differential of +201 (801 runs scored and 600 allowed); the Los Angeles Dodgers have the better record.
The Atlanta Braves went 3-2 in their last 5 games, with 25 runs scored and 17 allowed; their latest was a 6-2 home win over the Philadelphia Phillies on October 1. The Los Angeles Dodgers also went 3-2 in their last 5 games, with 14 runs scored and 13 allowed; their latest was a 5-1 road win over the San Francisco Giants on September 27. The Los Angeles Dodgers bring 3 straight wins into the game.