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Match analysis · Premier League

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Ipswich 1-1 Nottingham Forest: Match Analysis & Model Review

Ipswich 1-1 Nottingham Forest in the Premier League, Friday, October 23: how Goalorithm's model called it.

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Published October 23, 2026 · By the Goalorithm model desk

Read the preview written before kickoff →

Match report

Ipswich and Nottingham Forest finished level at 1-1 in the Premier League on Friday, October 23. The half-time score was 1-1, so the teams were level at the interval and at full time. Ipswich scored one goal and Nottingham Forest scored one goal, leaving the final outcome as a 1-1 draw.

The scoreline records a match in which neither side finished ahead. Ipswich and Nottingham Forest shared the result, with no winner at full time. The teams were level at half-time, and the match ended with a draw. The result was a draw, with two goals scored across the match.

The numbers

There were two goals in the match, divided between the teams. Both sides scored, and neither finished in front. The total is consistent with the level half-time score and the final score, while the result confirms that the match ended without a winner.

Before kickoff, Goalorithm's model assigned Ipswich a win probability of 31.5%, the draw 27.9%, and a Nottingham Forest win 40.6%. These probabilities are estimates. They set out the model's view of the three possible outcomes before the match began. The draw had its own probability in that forecast, and it was the outcome recorded at full time. The pre-match figures describe the forecast; the final result records what happened.

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How the model called it

The model's most likely outcome was Nottingham Forest to win. It gave the draw 27.9%, and the result went against the model's most likely outcome. The actual score did not match the outcome singled out by the pre-match forecast, although the model had assigned a probability to a draw. That distinction separates its most likely outcome from the result that came to pass.

The final score, 1-1, was the model's 1st-likeliest score. The exact score assessment identified the line that appeared at full time, while the outcome forecast favoured a win for Nottingham Forest. Those are separate parts of the model's forecast: one names the most likely result category, and the other identifies the most likely exact score. Here, the scoreline matched the model's leading score assessment, but the match ended in a draw rather than the forecast's most likely outcome. Ipswich and Nottingham Forest were level at half-time and at full time.

See every number for this game in the Match Center →

How this was written: an AI writer drafts the words from Goalorithm's own data. Every figure is filled in from our model and match records, never by the writer, and nothing we don't hold is guessed. Probabilities are model estimates, not certainties.

For informational/entertainment purposes only — not betting or financial advice. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Premier League

Ipswich vs Nottingham Forest

Fri, Oct 23 · 3:00 PM ET · Portman Road Stadium

Full time

1–1

Half-time 1–1

The model before the game

Ipswich
31.5%
Draw
27.9%
Nottingham Forest
40.6%

The result went against the model's most likely outcome.

Open the Match Center

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