Published October 21, 2026 · By the Goalorithm model desk
Preview
Ferencvarosi TC host Torreense in the UEFA Europa League on Thursday, October 22 at 12:45 p.m. ET, at Groupama Arena, Budapest. The sides enter the fixture with different positions in the competition table, while Ferencvarosi TC’s recent results provide a clear thread heading into the match.
The model’s outcomes, from likeliest down, are a Ferencvarosi TC win (49.6%), then a Torreense win (25.2%), then a draw (25.1%). It gives Ferencvarosi TC’s win the leading place, while also allowing for either a draw or a Torreense win.
What the model expects
The model’s likeliest result is a Ferencvarosi TC win. These probabilities are estimates. Expected goals are 1.8 for Ferencvarosi TC and 1.2 for Torreense, giving the forecast a scoring contribution from both sides.
The model projects over 2.5 goals at 56.4%, while under 2.5 goals at 43.6% remains part of the picture. It gives both teams to score 57.9%; the estimate for at least one side failing to score is 42.1%. The likeliest listed score is 1-1 (11.2%), followed by 2-1 (9%) and 1-0 (8.6%).
Form and standings
Ferencvarosi TC’s last 5 games read WWWWD: 4 wins and 1 draw, with 11 goals scored and 3 conceded. Their most recent result was a 2-1 home win against Plzen on October 15, and their current run is 4 wins in a row.
Ferencvarosi TC sit 7th in UEFA Europa League with 6 points from 2 games; Torreense sit 19th in UEFA Europa League with 3 points from 2 games. In the table, Ferencvarosi TC sit above Torreense. The standings and the model’s forecast both put Ferencvarosi TC’s position at the centre of the pre-match picture, though the model also gives Torreense a chance of taking the result.