Published October 25, 2026 · By the Goalorithm model desk
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Match report
FC Dallas and San Jose Earthquakes finished 0-0 in Major League Soccer on Saturday, October 24, producing a 0-0 draw. With no goals for FC Dallas and no goals for San Jose Earthquakes, neither side found a way onto the scoresheet. The draw was the final outcome, despite the model having identified a home win as its likeliest result before kickoff.
The numbers
The match finished with no goals in all. That figure, alongside the 0-0 scoreline, captures the defining fact of the game: neither team scored. There is no goal to separate the sides in the final record, and the outcome was settled without a change to the score from either team. The score alone does not establish how the match played out beyond that; it shows that the teams finished level and that neither converted the match into a win.
Before kickoff, Goalorithm's model gave a FC Dallas win 51.7%, a draw 23.3% and a San Jose Earthquakes win 25.1%. These probabilities are estimates. The draw was therefore included among the model's possible outcomes, even though it was not the result the model rated most likely. The final score gives a direct answer on the outcome: the match ended level, with the model's draw probability attached to the result that occurred.
The numbers point to a clear distinction between the forecast and the final result. The forecast contained all three possible outcomes, but assigned different probabilities to them; the match itself delivered the draw. Nothing in the scoreline changes what the pre-match probabilities said, and the probabilities do not change the fact that the game finished without a goal. Together, they describe a match in which the actual outcome was part of the forecast but not its leading selection.