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Match analysis · Major League Soccer

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FC Cincinnati 2-1 DC United: Match Analysis & Model Review

FC Cincinnati 2-1 DC United in Major League Soccer, Wednesday, October 21: how Goalorithm's model called it.

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Published October 22, 2026 · By the Goalorithm model desk

Read the preview written before kickoff →

Match report

FC Cincinnati beat DC United in Major League Soccer on Wednesday, October 21, with a 2-1 win for FC Cincinnati over DC United. The sides were level at half-time before the match ended with FC Cincinnati ahead.

The final score gives the clearest account of the outcome: FC Cincinnati took the win, while DC United finished on the losing side. The half-time score records that the teams entered the interval level, but the available details do not establish when the later change in the score came or who scored.

The numbers

There were three goals across the match. FC Cincinnati scored two goals, and DC United scored one goal; those totals make up the final score of 2-1. At the interval, the score was 1-1.

That is the full numerical picture available here: an even score at half-time and an FC Cincinnati victory by the final whistle. The scoreline distinguishes the teams’ outcomes without supplying further detail about the sequence of play.

How the model called it

Before kickoff, Goalorithm’s model gave FC Cincinnati a 42.3% chance of winning, assigned 24% to a draw and gave DC United a 33.7% chance. These probabilities are estimates. Its most likely outcome was FC Cincinnati to win, and it gave that outcome 42.3%; the model's most likely outcome happened.

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The final score was the model's 2nd-likeliest score. The outcome forecast and exact-score ranking describe different parts of the model’s view: its leading result was an FC Cincinnati win, while this precise scoreline had its own position among the possible scores. The match therefore ended in the outcome the model identified as most likely, with the exact score ranked separately. That distinction matters here: the model’s call concerned which result was likeliest, not a claim that this particular score would occur. The game finished with the home side winning, and the score ranking indicates how the model had placed that specific result before kickoff.

See every number for this game in the Match Center →

How this was written: an AI writer drafts the words from Goalorithm's own data. Every figure is filled in from our model and match records, never by the writer, and nothing we don't hold is guessed. Probabilities are model estimates, not certainties.

For informational/entertainment purposes only — not betting or financial advice. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Major League Soccer

FC Cincinnati vs DC United

Wed, Oct 21 · 7:00 PM ET · TQL Stadium

Full time

2–1

Half-time 1–1

The model before the game

FC Cincinnati
42.3%
Draw
24%
DC United
33.7%

The model's most likely outcome happened.

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