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Match analysis · Bundesliga

Research workspace

Eintracht Frankfurt 1-0 1. FC Köln: Match Analysis & Model Review

Eintracht Frankfurt 1-0 1. FC Köln in Bundesliga, Friday, October 16: how the goal came, the numbers behind the result and how Goalorithm's model called it.

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Published October 16, 2026 · By the Goalorithm model desk

Read the preview written before kickoff →

Match report

Eintracht Frankfurt secured a 1-0 win for Eintracht Frankfurt over 1. FC Köln in Bundesliga on Friday, October 16, with Younes Ebnoutalib scoring the decisive goal in the 77th minute. The sides reached half-time at 0-0, and only Eintracht Frankfurt ever led. The final score was 1-0, with Eintracht Frankfurt scoring one goal and 1. FC Köln scoring no goals.

The goal came late in a match that had remained goalless through the first half. Eintracht Frankfurt finished with one goal in all, while 1. FC Köln did not score.

How it unfolded

The first half ended with the score at 0-0. In the 77th minute, Younes Ebnoutalib scored for Eintracht Frankfurt, making it 1-0. That was the goal that decided the match; only Eintracht Frankfurt ever led.

The numbers

Eintracht Frankfurt recorded 15 shots, including 7 on target. 1. FC Köln had 9 shots, with 3 on target. Possession was 56% for Eintracht Frankfurt and 44% for 1. FC Köln.

The expected-goals figures were 1.38 for Eintracht Frankfurt and 0.67 for 1. FC Köln. The corner counts were 7 for Eintracht Frankfurt and 3 for 1. FC Köln; the save totals were 3 and 6, respectively. Those figures describe a match in which both teams registered shots and required saves, but only Eintracht Frankfurt found the net.

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Predictions
My Tracker

The scoring record was one goal for Eintracht Frankfurt and no goals for 1. FC Köln, with one goal overall. The decisive strike arrived after the goalless first half and left Eintracht Frankfurt with the result.

Standout performers

R. Koch was Eintracht Frankfurt's best-rated player, with a rating of 8.0. M. Schwäbe received 1. FC Köln's highest rating, 7.7.

How the model called it

Before kick-off, the model gave Eintracht Frankfurt a 48.2% chance of winning, a draw 22.2%, and a 1. FC Köln win 29.6%. These were the model's estimates. Its most likely outcome was Eintracht Frankfurt to win; it gave the actual result 48.2%, and the model's most likely outcome happened.

See every number for this game in the Match Center →

How this was written: an AI writer drafts the words from Goalorithm's own data. Every figure is filled in from our model and match records, never by the writer, and nothing we don't hold is guessed. Probabilities are model estimates, not certainties.

For informational/entertainment purposes only — not betting or financial advice. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Bundesliga

Eintracht Frankfurt vs 1. FC Köln

Fri, Oct 16 · 2:30 PM ET · Deutsche Bank Park

Full time

1–0

Half-time 0–0

  • 77'Younes Ebnoutalib1–0

The model before the game

Eintracht Frankfurt
48.2%
Draw
22.2%
1. FC Köln
29.6%

The model's most likely outcome happened.

The numbers

Eintracht FrankfurtStatistic1. FC Köln
3saves6
15shots9
7corners3
56%possession44%
1.38expected goals0.67
7shots on target3
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