Published October 22, 2026 · By the Goalorithm model desk
Preview
DC United host FC Cincinnati in Major League Soccer on Saturday, October 24 at 7:30 p.m. ET. The sides meet again after a 2-1 home win against DC United on October 21, giving DC United a chance to respond and FC Cincinnati another meeting with the same opponent.
The model's forecast points to a close contest, with the visitors' win outcome leading its order of possibilities. Its goals figures also make scoring at both ends a prominent part of the picture.
What the model expects
These probabilities are estimates. The model's outcomes, from likeliest down, are an FC Cincinnati win (40%), then a DC United win (34.9%), then a draw (25.2%). Its likeliest result is an FC Cincinnati win.
The scoring outlook leans towards an open match: the model has over 2.5 goals at 68%, while under 2.5 goals at 32%. It gives both teams to score 68.3%, with 31.7% for at least one side failing to score. That leaves room in the forecast for either attack to be kept out, even as scoring from both sides features prominently.
Expected goals are 1.7 for DC United and 1.9 for FC Cincinnati. The leading exact-score possibilities are 1-1 at 10.3%, 1-2 at 7.9% and 2-1 at 7.3%. The most prominent single score is level; the other leading possibilities are 1-2 and 2-1, one with FC Cincinnati scoring more and the other with DC United scoring more.
Form and standings
DC United's recent sequence is LLWLD, amounting to 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats across 5 games. They have 7 goals scored and 14 conceded. Their latest outing was a 2-1 away defeat to FC Cincinnati on October 21, and they arrive on 2 defeats in a row. The sequence includes wins, a draw and defeats.