Published September 27, 2026 · By the Goalorithm model desk
Final: New York Yankees 9–0 Boston Red Sox. Read the game analysis →
Preview
The Boston Red Sox visit the New York Yankees in MLB on Tuesday, September 29, with first pitch at 8:00 p.m. ET. Goalorithm's model makes the New York Yankees its likelier result in a matchup between teams with winning records, while its run projection points to scoring from both clubs.
What the model expects
The model gives the New York Yankees a 58% chance to win and the Boston Red Sox a 42% chance. Those probabilities are estimates, not certainties. The model's likelier result is a New York Yankees win.
Its expected-runs projection has the New York Yankees at 4.2 and the Boston Red Sox at 3.7, for 7.9 overall. The projected scoring is close enough to keep both offenses in the game's outline, without making either club's contribution the whole story. That is a description of the model's expectation, not a guarantee about how the game will unfold.
For a win by two runs or more, the model gives the New York Yankees a 37.2% chance and the Boston Red Sox a 26.3% chance. Those are separate chances for each team to reach that margin; the model's central result remains a New York Yankees win.