Published October 22, 2026 · By the Goalorithm model desk
Preview
Blackburn host Wrexham in the Championship on Saturday, October 24, with kick-off at 10:00 a.m. ET at Ewood Park, Blackburn. The sides arrive after different latest results: Blackburn come off a 3-2 away defeat to West Brom on October 17, while Wrexham are fresh from a 4-1 home win against Preston on October 17.
The table has Blackburn sit above Wrexham, and the model’s outcome ordering is a Blackburn win (45.7%), then a Wrexham win (27.8%), then a draw (26.5%). Their recent records offer context for a meeting where both teams will be looking to build on their latest result.
What the model expects
The model’s probabilities are estimates. Its ordering is a Blackburn win (45.7%), then a Wrexham win (27.8%), then a draw (26.5%), with a Blackburn win the likeliest result. Expected goals are 1.7 for Blackburn and 1.2 for Wrexham, giving a projected contribution for each side without making the scoreline certain.
The likeliest scorelines are 1-1 (11.8%), 2-1 (9%) and 1-0 (8.5%). The first prediction has the teams level; the other listed scores have Blackburn ahead. They indicate the model’s most prominent exact-score outcomes, rather than a single settled script for the match.
For total goals, the model gives over 2.5 goals at 55.1% and under 2.5 goals at 44.9%. It puts both teams scoring at 56.8%, with 43.2% for at least one side failing to score. The goal outlook allows for either both sides to find the net or one to be kept out.