Published October 21, 2026 · By the Goalorithm model desk
Preview
Beşiktaş host Crystal Palace in the UEFA Europa League on Thursday, October 22, with kick-off at 3:00 p.m. ET. The match is at Tüpraş Stadium, Istanbul.
The model’s outcome view puts a Beşiktaş win first, but the draw and a Crystal Palace win also feature in its estimates. Beşiktaş bring recent results and a place above Crystal Palace in the competition standings into the fixture.
What the model expects
The model’s outcomes, from likeliest down, are a Beşiktaş win (43.4%), then a Crystal Palace win (30%), then a draw (26.6%). These probabilities are estimates. The likeliest result is a Beşiktaş win.
The expected-goals figures are 1.5 for Beşiktaş and 1.2 for Crystal Palace. For the total, the model gives over 2.5 goals at 49.2% and under 2.5 goals at 50.8%. Its both-teams-to-score estimates are 53% for yes and 47% for no. Together, those figures leave room for goals from both teams, as well as for at least one side not to score.
The leading exact-score estimates are 1-1 at 12.3%, 1-0 at 10% and 0-0 at 8.6%. They offer several possible scorelines, while the broader outcome probabilities remain the model’s central view of the match.
Form and standings
Beşiktaş’s recent form is WWLWW, with 4 wins and 1 defeat and 11 goals scored and 4 conceded. Their latest listed result was a 3-2 away win against 1899 Hoffenheim on October 15; they are also on 2 wins in a row. That sequence gives the hosts a recent-results thread ahead of the meeting.